Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.394452 0.454559 0.517561 0.588238 0.665034 0.745684 0.836516
2024-12-29 0.320946 0.405721 0.499736 0.610604 0.736664 0.874495 1.035541
2025-01-05 0.254407 0.352807 0.468072 0.610394 0.778804 0.969311 1.198679
2025-01-12 0.204408 0.310866 0.442343 0.611691 0.819262 1.060971 1.359290
2025-01-19 0.170766 0.283578 0.429887 0.625516 0.872599 1.167297 1.538363
2025-01-26 0.145990 0.263771 0.423649 0.644686 0.931205 1.279922 1.726329
2025-02-02 0.125587 0.246627 0.418286 0.663058 0.987835 1.390206 1.912711
2025-02-09 0.102524 0.221574 0.398864 0.660187 1.015467 1.463693 2.054162
2025-02-16 0.087231 0.206023 0.390872 0.671263 1.060361 1.558669 2.222825
2025-02-23 0.071269 0.186355 0.374386 0.668486 1.085425 1.627649 2.358915
2025-03-02 0.053846 0.160289 0.344905 0.644254 1.079116 1.654448 2.440533
2025-03-09 0.045745 0.150351 0.339932 0.655250 1.121068 1.744561 2.603891
2025-03-16 0.035091 0.132735 0.320614 0.643689 1.131330 1.793648 2.716418
2025-03-23 0.031115 0.129167 0.325151 0.669126 1.195048 1.915569 2.925808
2025-03-30 0.024766 0.117998 0.314740 0.669910 1.222493 1.988331 3.071148
2025-04-06 0.019632 0.108208 0.305626 0.671886 1.251214 2.062833 3.219321
2025-04-13 0.016488 0.102996 0.304649 0.686953 1.299473 2.164740 3.404984
2025-04-20 0.014226 0.099722 0.307075 0.707560 1.356214 2.278907 3.607986
2025-04-27 0.012192 0.096432 0.309042 0.727225 1.411682 2.391794 3.810206
2025-05-04 0.009134 0.087715 0.298460 0.724249 1.431820 2.454734 3.944989
2025-05-11 0.007373 0.083198 0.296432 0.736070 1.474932 2.550576 4.125285
2025-05-18 0.005318 0.075693 0.286635 0.733145 1.494425 2.612540 4.259436
2025-05-25 0.003063 0.064094 0.265281 0.707390 1.476374 2.619559 4.317385